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          Czech industrial production improved in May, but not enough 1594119509
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          FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith

          FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith

          Report6 July 2020

          Despite many opportunities, risk assets have so far avoided the kind of sharp re-alignment with Main Street that so many…

          By Chris Turner, Petr Krpata, CFAand Francesco Pesole
          China Quarterly Update: Technology v bricks and mortar
          Geopolitics and Globalisation

          China Quarterly Update: Technology v bricks and mortar

          Article30 June 2020

          Lockdowns and social distancing measures are short-term issues for the Chinese economy as a result of the Covid-19…

          By Iris Pang
          Post-Brexit trade deal still possible despite rollercoaster talks
          Geopolitics and Globalisation

          Post-Brexit trade deal still possible despite rollercoaster talks

          Article3 July 2020

          Despite the latest round of UK-EU talks ending a day early, it's too early to conclude that the chances of a trade…

          By James Smith
          RBA preview: Currency comments to drive reaction

          RBA preview: Currency comments to drive reaction

          Article3 July 2020

          From a rates perspective, there is little need for Australia's central bank to do anything on Tuesday. The only cause…

          By Robert Carnelland Francesco Pesole
          July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow

          July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow

          Report2 July 2020

          The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…

          By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others
          Spotify
          Listen: Brazil’s Covid crisis
          Geopolitics and Globalisation

          Listen: Brazil’s Covid crisis

          Article3 July 2020

          With 1.4 million coronavirus cases and over 60,000 deaths, Brazil now ranks as the second worst hit country in the world,…

          By Gustavo Rangeland Rebecca Byrne
          GBP: The ongoing disappointment

          GBP: The ongoing disappointment

          Article30 June 2020

          EUR/GBP broke through our quarter-end target of 0.91. We see more downside to sterling and expect EUR/GBP to trade above…

          By Petr Krpata, CFA
          UK public finances: Not (yet) breaking the bank

          UK public finances: Not (yet) breaking the bank

          Article1 July 2020

          The myriad of risks surrounding the UK economic recovery means that government borrowing is set to remain high both this…

          By James Smithand Antoine Bouvet
          National debt levels – A cautionary tale
          National debt levels – A cautionary tale

          ArticleThe IMF's latest forecasts suggest a deeper contraction for 2020 with growth…

          1594136643
          Supply, rates and curve: What to expect in 2H20 and beyond
          Supply, rates and curve: What to expect in 2H20 and beyond

          ArticleWe probably haven't seen the last upward revision to European states deficits,…

          1594129515
          THINK Outside

          VoxEU: Covid and the nature of capitalism

          By VOX EU

          OpinionFor all the harm that it caused, the Covid-19 crisis provided an opening to rethink…

          1594135262
          FX Positioning: EUR remains king despite a correction
          FX Positioning: EUR remains king despite a correction

          ArticleIn the week 24-30 June, CFTC positioning for EUR/USD corrected lower by the most in…

          1594124373
          Czech industrial production improved in May, but not enough
          Czech industrial production improved in May, but not enough

          SnapCzech industrial production increased by 13.8% from April, but compared to a year…

          1594119509
          Are European governments pushing for a green recovery?
          Are European governments pushing for a green recovery?

          ArticleSustainability was already a hot-topic pre-Covid-19, but will this trend still…

          1594112837

          From yesterday to tomorrow

          July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
          July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow

          The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…

          By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others

          Download PDF

          Geopolitics and Globalisation US: The wrong direction

          ArticleCovid-19 infections and hospitalisations are on the rise in many states, leading to…

          Eurozone: A deceptive ‘V’

          ArticleRecent indicators point to a V-shaped recovery, but that won’t last very…

          China: Covid-19 adds pressure to exports

          ArticleDomestically-driven growth has been faster than foreign-driven exports and…

          FX markets leave lockdown behind them

          ArticleThis month, we’ve been tasked with looking at the effects of lockdown exits…

          Rates: Warning signs that equities might have it all wrong

          ArticleMost financial instruments are present values of a discounted stream of future…

          Geopolitics and Globalisation US Politics: Troubling times for Mr President

          ArticlePresident Trump is languishing in the polls both nationally and in the swing states…

          Taiwan: exports keep falling
          Taiwan: exports keep falling

          SnapTaiwan's exports and imports continue to shrink on a yearly basis despite…

          1594117468
          Hungary: A bittersweet record in industry
          Hungary: A bittersweet record in industry

          SnapAfter an historic collapse, we now have an historic rebound in industry. However,…

          1594118481
          Daily FX: Yuan back to the 7.00 dilemma
          Daily FX: Yuan back to the 7.00 dilemma

          ArticleChinese equities’ extraordinary rally remains in focus as a key driver of…

          1594106765
          Rates Spark: Better safe than sorry
          Rates Spark: Better safe than sorry

          ArticleWe expect investors to reduce risk into next week's ECB meeting but the threat…

          1594102140
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          Media

          National debt levels – A cautionary tale
          National debt levels – A cautionary tale
          US jobs – Don’t believe all the hype
          US jobs – Don’t believe all the hype
          Listen: Recovery, reflation and the market response
          Listen: Recovery, reflation and the market response
          Covid-19 impacts on supply chains
          Covid-19 impacts on supply chains
          WATCH: The effect of coronavirus on spending and saving
          WATCH: The effect of coronavirus on spending and saving
          China is recovering, but it’s still way too slow
          China is recovering, but it’s still way too slow
          Why Europe may finally be getting its act together over Covid-19
          Why Europe may finally be getting its act together over Covid-19
          Prepare for a significant QE increase in the UK
          Prepare for a significant QE increase in the UK
          Covid-19, deglobalisation and the cost companies must now consider
          Covid-19, deglobalisation and the cost companies must now consider
          The race to economic recovery
          The race to economic recovery
          Brexit: Are the markets right to be worried… again?
          Brexit: Are the markets right to be worried… again?
          Bottom line: We’re not going to get stagflation
          Bottom line: We’re not going to get stagflation
          Now for some good news
          Now for some good news
          Britain, breakout and Brexit
          Britain, breakout and Brexit
          The big change in oil sentiment
          The big change in oil sentiment
          Watch:  Which market is getting it right?
          Watch:  Which market is getting it right?
          Europe’s top court hits back at German ECB ruling
          Europe’s top court hits back at German ECB ruling
          Central bank digital currencies and Covid-19
          Central bank digital currencies and Covid-19
          6 ways Covid-19 is transforming digital finance
          6 ways Covid-19 is transforming digital finance
          Europe’s uneven recovery
          Europe’s uneven recovery

          THINK Outside New and expanding soon

          VoxEU: Covid and the nature of capitalism

          Priorities for the Covid-19 Economy

          Post-Pandemic Economic Leadership Begins in America

          The Main Street Manifesto

          Reports

          LATAM FX Talking: Reaching the limit of rate cuts
          LATAM FX Talking: Reaching the limit of rate cuts

          A preoccupation with stability in local financial markets, especially FX, is now driving the monetary policy decisions of…

          By Gustavo Rangel

          Download PDF
          FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith
          FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith

          Despite many opportunities, risk assets have so far avoided the kind of sharp re-alignment with Main Street that so many…

          By Chris Turner, Petr Krpata, CFAand Francesco Pesole

          Download PDF
          Asia FX Talking: Balance of risks
          Asia FX Talking: Balance of risks

          The near-term direction for Asian currencies will be dominated by whether Covid-19 angst or recovery optimism prevail.…

          By Robert Carnell, Chris Turnerand 3 others

          Download PDF
          July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
          July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow

          The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…

          By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others

          Download PDF

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          Consumer economics

          WATCH: The effect of coronavirus on spending and saving

          Coronavirus: Saving differently, not equally

          Coronavirus unequally impacts savings

          Football fandom and loss aversion: A paradox

           

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